Spring is particularly conducive for tornadoes in many parts of the United States. At the time of writing, survey teams were investigating possible tornado damage in parts of Texas. Tornadoes remain one of the most elusive and fascinating phenomena in meteorology. They can literally change the lives of families and entire cities. It is why I have a healthy dose of respect and fear of them. I don’t cheer for them. Scientists understand the general conditions that are conducive to the formation of tornadoes, but the lead time for warning for a specific tornado is still under 15 minutes. However, potentially breakthrough research published in the American Meteorological Society’s Monthly Weather Review by a team led by Dr. Victor Gensini of the College of Dupage offers the promise of forecasting tornadoes 2 to 3 weeks in advance. Sort of.  Dr. Gensini has forecasted above normal tornado activity in the United States through the first 3 weeks of March. How is this possible and what are the caveats? I decided to ask Dr. Gensini who happens to be a former doctoral student in our program at the University of Georgia (I was on his PhD committee). Here is my exclusive interview with him:

from Forbes – Tech http://ift.tt/1LOHdTq
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