Most technology prediction pieces are so trite, formulaic and unoriginal that, like listicles and ad-infested slide shows, it’s a wonder they still attract readers. But click magnets they are and like most click magnets, yearly prediction lists are a waste of time. The reason has been familiar to risk managers and war planners for generations, but the unexpected unknowns often end up having the most significant long-term effects on the technology industry.

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